Thursday, March 13, 2014

Why has Nepal failed as a state?

Why has Nepal failed as a state?
Around month ago in an edition of Kantipur, senior Journalist Sushil Sharma had posit a challenge to the intellectual crowd to determine why Nepal has failed as a nation? In current context, this  question is highly pertinent and its answer though very plausible needs to be sought . Because  without knowing the reason why country failed there is no way to determine how to move ahead. This is akin to diagnosing a disease without which cure cannot be found.

Now moving back to the question, several reasons might be put forth for why our country has failed as nation so far. Some may say because of  our invariable political turmoil, some may blame our neighbors, some may blame our geographical terrain and land-lockedness and some may blame lack of economic growth. But these factors alone can't be consider as sole contributor for our indigence because there are several instances across world where despite these factors countries have progressed. Let's try to analyze them one by one

a) Political turmoil: For instance name one country which do not suffer from political crisis. Across the board people from  every nation distrust their politician. Whether its developed countries like US, developing country like India or underdeveloped country like Afghanistan people simply don't trust their leaders . Period. 
Yes the gestation period for pipe dream of what's called  Nepal's political stability has been too protracted with over sixty years of experimentation, but if we put this in face value with what France went through then it is nothing.  History of France witnessed  hundred years of reign of terror and what they have now is actually not first or second but fifth republic. If we look at recent history then we can see that countries such as Mexico, Pakistan and even Japan has gone through tremendous political flux and in spite of this they have progressed.
 
b) Neighbors:  Of course our neighboring countries have always wielded their will power on our political system. But this is natural phenomena considering the geo-political situation that Nepal faces. Across the world the similar situation can be witnessed, for instance in all the eastern blocs of previous Soviet Union, Russia plays influential role. Current crisis in Ukraine is best exhibit. Even in Africa former colonial power France meddles in internal conflicts. So this situation cannot be simple pretext for our failure.

c) Economic Turmoil: Nepal has always undergone the economic hardship with large part of her population living under dollar wage a day. Though the statistics have shown uptick in recent times because of remittance flow, most of the economic indicator is still problematic. But one thing we have to understand is that the overall economy of Nepal has never collapsed. We haven't faced any negative Balance Of Payment situation except  during mid-80s.Though the GDP growth is staggering at around 3%, this is still in par with what Nobel Laureate Robert Lucas has called new normal. The biggest problem facing the country right now is stagflation (simultaneous increase in inflation and unemployment).  And further concern is inflation is showing both Demand Pull ( because of remittance) and Cost Push (because of syndicates and monopoly). But despite these it can hardly be cause for calling a nation as failed state since there are other countries which have gone through worst crisis. There are recent instances of bank run in Argentina,  currency collapse in Zimbawe and debt Sovereign in Greece and 15 trillion dollar deficit in US. Nepal hasn't faced anything as such . So our economic woes isn't even mole hill compared to other economic downturns.

d) Geographical context: Yes Nepal is landlocked country and its terrain is hard and rough. With its difficult landscape it is always challenging to bring in the development. But that doesn't give any pretext for our underdevelopment. Further to compensate for it  we have vast resource of minerals waiting to be exploited . It is just our will power that is lacking. Besides the instances of countries like Bolivia, Mongolia simply makes landlockedness a lame excuse for our  underdevelopment.

So the question  still remains why has Nepal failed?

To answer this question we will have to first identify what do every individual in the world desire. Some may sought wealth, some may wish for power , some may desire love, some may want education. The list goes on and on. But among all these there is one common theme and that is - "Freedom and Pursuit of Happiness".
Yes this is what everyone seeks in their life. To have ones free will and to do whatever one wants in life.
The reason this is important is because in today's context majority of Nepalese do not see Nepal as a place where they can reach this ultimate goal. It's not very difficult to establish this assertion. If we ask every youngster what they dream of then majority of them will tell you that it is the foreign land that they seek. Nobody sees their future belonging in Nepal and this applies to both educated and uneducated as well as both skilled and unskilled youngsters. And this trend is not a recent one.Nepalese has penchant of leaving there birthplace since the early times. The word 'Lahure' which came from British Gurkha regiment soldiers stationed at Lahore , has been long established in our vernacular.

This pattern of leaving ones root , language, culture and history for betterment of life can be seen in other countries as well. For example After Russian incursion in late 70s many Afghanis left their homeland. During the time of Indira Gandhi's emergency many Indian left Indians left the country. But unlike Nepalese migration which can be considered as absquatulation those aforementioned cases are prime example of exilation.
Is there a hope?

Until and unless people feel that their future and future of their loved ones are secured in their own homeland, that country will always remain a failed state. But this mentality won't blossom overnight. False patriotism will only make matter worst. But the current instance in China and India do provide the beacon of hope. Many Indians and Chinese are returning back to their country as there is more opportunities in their own homeland. But comparing the situation of Nepal with those of our Nuclear neighbors is ludicrous. So the best thing to do at present context is to conclude Nepal's protracted transition to modern era as quick as possible and establish the rule of law. Because without fulfillment of these two criteria Nepal will never be land where people will be able to enjoy their freedom and pursuit happiness. And till then Nepal will always remain a failed state.